4 Comments

Sheesh. I had a sailboat for a few years in Florida and the Bahamas, and I was constantly trying to dodge hurricanes, one time unsuccessfully and ended up with a damaged boat. Iā€™m biased, but that sure seems like a scary risk. But they obviously know what they are doing, so I will attempt to ignore it and not worry. šŸ˜¬

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Iā€™m sure the premium received was very high relative to the risk but it would be very painful if things go badā€¦ Of course, Berkshire can handle such a huge claim but it would be very unpleasant!

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I didnā€™t realize we were on the hook for $15 billion in Florida. Do you know what the main exposure is? This seems like a pretty big probability for a payout due to hurricanes gaining in strength the last few years.

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Itā€™s based on what Ajit said during the meeting. I found it quite surprising. CNBC now has a transcript up here: https://buffett.cnbc.com/video/2023/05/08/morning-session---2023-meeting.html

ā€œWe are very happy with what weā€™ve written. The margins have been healthy. The only thing that I want to mention to you is that, while the mentions have been healthy, we have a very unbalanced portfolio. What that means is if thereā€™s a big hurricane in Florida, we will have a very substantial loss.

As opposed to that if we have a very big loss anywhere other than Florida, relative to our competition, we will have a much smaller loss. Net-net, Iā€™m very happy with the portfolio. It is a lot better than what itā€™s been in the past. I donā€™t know how long itā€™ll last, and of course if the hurricane happens in Florida, we could lose, across all the units, as much as $15 billion. And if there isnā€™t a loss, weā€™ll make several billion dollars as profit.ā€

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