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Sheesh. I had a sailboat for a few years in Florida and the Bahamas, and I was constantly trying to dodge hurricanes, one time unsuccessfully and ended up with a damaged boat. I’m biased, but that sure seems like a scary risk. But they obviously know what they are doing, so I will attempt to ignore it and not worry. 😬

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I’m sure the premium received was very high relative to the risk but it would be very painful if things go bad… Of course, Berkshire can handle such a huge claim but it would be very unpleasant!

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I didn’t realize we were on the hook for $15 billion in Florida. Do you know what the main exposure is? This seems like a pretty big probability for a payout due to hurricanes gaining in strength the last few years.

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It’s based on what Ajit said during the meeting. I found it quite surprising. CNBC now has a transcript up here: https://buffett.cnbc.com/video/2023/05/08/morning-session---2023-meeting.html

“We are very happy with what we’ve written. The margins have been healthy. The only thing that I want to mention to you is that, while the mentions have been healthy, we have a very unbalanced portfolio. What that means is if there’s a big hurricane in Florida, we will have a very substantial loss.

As opposed to that if we have a very big loss anywhere other than Florida, relative to our competition, we will have a much smaller loss. Net-net, I’m very happy with the portfolio. It is a lot better than what it’s been in the past. I don’t know how long it’ll last, and of course if the hurricane happens in Florida, we could lose, across all the units, as much as $15 billion. And if there isn’t a loss, we’ll make several billion dollars as profit.”

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